DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ DBS: India's central bank will probably cut rates only in the fourth quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDBS: India's central bank will probably cut rates only in the fourth quarterRadhika Rao of Singapore's largest lender discusses the measures that might precede a cut.

Persons: Radhika Rao Organizations: DBS

☆ India's economy is in a 'sweet spot,' says DBS Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia's economy is in a 'sweet spot,' says DBS BankRadhika Rao of Singapore's largest lender discusses the country's strong economic performance, investment spending and consumption.

Persons: Radhika Rao Organizations: DBS

☆ India's economy is in a 'sweet spot,' but private consumption growth may continue to slow: DBS Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Charmaine Jacob | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

India's economy is in a "sweet spot," but growth in private consumption is expected to slow further, Radhika Rao, senior economist at DBS Bank said. India's GDP expanded by 7.6% during the July to September quarter as a result of stronger manufacturing activity and government spending, beating Reuters poll estimates of 6.8%. Even though it was lower than the 7.8% expansion during the April to June quarter, the country's growth is "one of the strongest in the region among major economies" and DBS expects the GDP to expand around 6.8% this year, Rao said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Friday. She highlighted that the slowdown in consumption activity during the July to September quarter, which will likely continue through the winter, was owed to weak farm production in the summer months due to erratic weather. Although household consumption is likely to have picked up during the October to December quarter due to festivals including Diwali, it could fall again in the January to March quarter ahead of the 2024 general elections, Rao warned.

Persons: Radhika Rao, Rao Organizations: DBS Bank, DBS

☆ Indian economy to exceed growth estimates after strong Q2 beat : economists
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The country's economy expanded 7.6% in the July-September quarter, trouncing estimates of a 6.8% rise, data released on Thursday showed. He had an earlier forecast growth at 6.7%. The government stuck to its 6.5% growth forecast for the year, but chief economic advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran said he was "more comfortable with an upside to this projection than before". Reuters GraphicsCitigroup revised its growth forecast for the financial year upwards by 50 basis points to 6.7% citing a pick-up in investment activity. "This reaffirms our view of sustained investment recovery," the Wall Street bank's chief India economist Samiran Chakraborty said in a note.

Persons: Ranita Roy, Saumya Kanti Ghosh, V, Anantha Nageswaran, Gross, Samiran Chakraborty, Chakraborty, Radhika Rao, Gaura Sen Gupta, Ira Dugal, Nivedita Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, State Bank of India, Reuters Graphics Citigroup, Street bank's, DBS, IDFC, Bank Economics Research, Thomson Locations: Kolkata, India

☆ Bank Indonesia to maintain key rate at 6.00% until at least mid-2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Susobhan Sarkar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Bank Indonesia (BI) will leave its key policy rate unchanged at 6.00% on Thursday and likely keep it at that level until at least mid-2024, according to a Reuters poll of economists in which a few respondents still expected another rate hike. "Bank Indonesia is likely to keep rates unchanged this month. In a Nov. 14-20 Reuters poll, a strong majority of economists, 27 of 31, expected Indonesia's central bank to keep its benchmark key interest rate (IDCBRR=ECI) unchanged at 6.00% on Thursday. While 12 of 28 put the key rate at 6.00% at the end of June, five had a 6.25% forecast and three had 6.50%. "Our base case is for the first BI rate cut in Q3 2024 ...

Persons: Radhika Rao, Brian Lee Shun Rong, Susobhan Sarkar, Veronica Khongwir, Milounee Purohit, Paul Simao Organizations: Bank Indonesia, Bank, greenback, U.S . Federal, U.S ., DBS, Reuters, Maybank, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Asia's, Bank Indonesia

Bank Indonesia's logo is seen at its headquarters in Jakarta, Indonesia, January 17, 2019. Bank Indonesia (BI) plans to issue new rupiah-denominated securities, using its holdings of government bonds as the underlying asset, as a new monetary instrument aimed at attracting foreign portfolio capital flows, Governor Perry Warjiyo said. BI kept the benchmark 7-day reverse repurchase rate (IDCBRR=ECI) at 5.75% for its seventh straight monthly policy review, as widely expected by economists surveyed by Reuters. Guarding the rupiah "is our way to protect the domestic economy, inflation and growth from global spillovers," Warjiyo told reporters. Inflation slowed in July to 3.08%, roughly the midpoint of the central bank's 2% to 4% target range.

Persons: Willy Kurniawan, Perry Warjiyo, Warjiyo, Radhika Rao, Shivaan Tandon, Bank Danamon, Fransiska Nangoy, Bernadette Christina Munthe, Stefanno Sulaiman, Ananda Teresia, Gayatri Suroyo, Martin Petty, Kim Coghill, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Bank Indonesia, BI, Reuters, Securities, U.S, Treasury, DBS Bank, Capital Economics, Bank, Thomson Locations: Jakarta, Indonesia, JAKARTA, Asia's, China

On a quarterly, non-seasonally adjusted basis, GDP expanded 3.86%, compared with the poll's prediction of 3.72% growth. Meanwhile, exports contracted 2.75% in the second quarter on a yearly basis, in stark contrast to last quarter's growth of more than 10%. Myrdal Gunarto, economist with Maybank Indonesia, said he might raise his bank's full-year 2023 GDP growth outlook of 5.05%, but described the second quarter data as "a sign that economic activities had peaked". The better-than-expected data may spur monetary policymakers to shift their focus from growth to the current account, as strong domestic demand typically leads to rising imports, said Fakhrul Fulvian, economist with Trimegah Securities, who maintained his full-year 2023 GDP growth outlook at 5%. The government is targeting the same growth rate for 2023.

Persons: Eid, Joko Widodo's, Myrdal Gunarto, Myrdal, Fakhrul Fulvian, Radhika Rao, Stefanno Sulaiman, Fransiska Nangoy, Gayatri Suroyo, Martin Petty, Sonali Paul Organizations: Asia's, Statistics, Reuters, Maybank, Trimegah Securities, U.S ., Bank, DBS Bank, Thomson Locations: JAKARTA, Statistics Indonesia, Maybank Indonesia, Indonesia, Bank Indonesia

Summary June headline inflation at 3.52% vs 3.64% in Reuters pollCore inflation at 2.58% vs 2.64% in pollSome economists forecast interest rate cut in Q3JAKARTA, July 3 (Reuters) - Indonesia's annual inflation rate in June eased to 3.52%, settling into the central bank's target range for a second straight month, data from the statistics bureau showed on Monday. Headline inflation dropped to its lowest since April 2022 and came in below the 3.64% expected in a Reuters poll and below the 4.00% seen in May. Transportation fares, food prices and rents rose in June, Pudji Ismartini, deputy head of Statistics Indonesia, said in a press conference. The core inflation rate, which strips out government-controlled and volatile food prices, eased to 2.58% in June from 2.66% a month before. The poll had expected 2.64% core inflation.

Persons: Pudji Ismartini, Fakhrul Fulvian, Radhika Rao, Stefanno Sulaiman, Fransiska, Kanupriya Kapoor Organizations: Reuters, Bank, Statistics, BI, Trimegah Securities, DBS, Thomson Locations: JAKARTA, Asia's, Statistics Indonesia

☆ JPMorgan raises 2024 economic outlook for India, but remains cautious of global headwinds
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Charmaine Jacob | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan increased its 2024 economic forecast for India — but only marginally — saying the country's growth will be affected by a slowdown in global growth momentum. The investment bank raised its 2024 growth forecast from 5% to 5.5%. The South Asian nation's strong growth was driven by a pick up in domestic demand for goods and services as well as strong exports. "We have been flagging the continued strength of India's service exports and how goods exports were also doing cyclically better than had been expected," JPMorgan said in a note. There were also "several pockets of upside surprises, including manufacturing, construction, and farm output … fixed capital investment growth has also fared better," Rao told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Thursday.

Persons: Radhika Rao, JPMorgan, Rao, CNBC's Organizations: JPMorgan, DBS Bank Locations: India

☆ India's economy started the year on a 'very strong' note, DBS Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia's economy started the year on a 'very strong' note, DBS Bank saysRadhika Rao of Singapore's largest lender discusses India's 6.1% gross domestic product growth in the January-March quarter.

Persons: Radhika Rao Organizations: DBS Bank

☆ India inflation likely hit 18-month low in April - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Madhumita Gokhale | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Predictions ranged from 4.40% to 5.80%, with respondents expecting inflation to remain below the RBI's 6.00% upper tolerance limit for the second consecutive month. "Food inflation was a mixed bag on the month, with cereals and vegetables easing, whilst pulses and milk rose. "With inflation off the boil besides core (inflation), the RBI is likely to remain on an extended pause." However, inflation was expected to remain well above the RBI's medium-term target of 4.0% in the coming quarters, according to a separate poll. The survey also showed wholesale price inflation (INWPI=ECI), which measures the change in producer prices, is likely to have fallen to -0.20% last month compared to a year ago.

☆ Weather conditions in India could further drive up food prices: DBS
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia: Limited role monetary policy can play in tackling weather-related inflation, economist saysRadhika Rao of DBS Bank says monetary policy would be a "blunt instrument" to use in tackling food inflation worsened by weather conditions.

☆ India c.bank set to raise rates 25 bps on elevated inflation, keep hawkish stance
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Swati Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The central bank has already raised rates by 250 basis points since May last year. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, was also expected to have stayed high between 6.05%-6.12% in February, according to estimates from three economists. "The policy space to focus on inflation is lent by domestic growth conditions holding-up, supported by urban consumption and services sector recovery," Sen Gupta said. Early signs of a slowdown in India are also visible in easing imports and plateuing bank credit demand. The Reuters Poll showed that a majority of respondents, 20 of 36, expect the central bank would maintain its 'withdrawal of accommodation' stance while the remaining 16 said it would shift to neutral.

☆ Instant View: Here’s what experts think of India's surprise rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +16 min

The monetary policy committee (MPC) retained the key lending rate or the repo rate (INREPO=ECI) at 6.50% in a unanimous decision. With the likely softening of CPI to the low- to mid-5% levels in the coming month, the current repo rate of 6.5% implies that India’s real policy rate will hover around 1% during 2023-24, while maintaining a policy rate differential of about 1.5% with the US. Room for additional rate hikes has been retained with MPC’s policy stance continuing to remain unchanged at ‘withdrawal of accommodation’. We believe the bar for future rate hikes has increased, especially since near-term prints of CPI will be sub 6%. Scope for further hikes is limited given our growth-inflation outlook and impact of the past rate hikes on the same.

☆ Asian FX bulls loom on signs of slowing Fed rate hikes, China reopening
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Savyata Mishra | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Market participants turned bullish on the U.S. dollar-sensitive South Korean won for the first time since July 1, 2021, the poll of 12 analysts showed on Thursday. Expectations that the dollar's strength and U.S. yields had peaked saw investors return to emerging markets in November. "Given the negative burden of the Fed's tightening cycle on Asian currencies, an eventual pivot toward easing will likely deliver a rally in Asia FX," BofA analysts said in a note last week. However, Barclays analysts warn of challenges from increased fragmentation of domestic politics and the slowing economy. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3.

☆ India cenbank's 2013 playbook to rebuild FX reserves unlikely to work-analysts
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Swati Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterTo defend the rupee, the Reserve Bank of India has dipped into its forex reserves. "It would be important to rebuild FX reserves for sure. Reuters GraphicsUNPROFITABLE SPREADSBack in 2013, the RBI had offered to swap the U.S. dollars banks had raised via foreign currency non-resident (FCNR) deposits or foreign currency funding for rupees at concessional rates. And while reserves at current levels are adequate to cover more than eight months of imports, analysts say a sustained depletion could cause some concern. Bank of Baroda's Sabnavis suggested floating sovereign bonds, like the Resurgent India bonds (RIBs) India Millennium Deposit bonds (IMDs) in the past, to help boost forex reserves.

Search resuls for: "Radhika Rao"

16 mentions found